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"The most dangerous decision-making fallacy is that informed decision-makers will naturally make better, more objective decisions. Making consistently timely, effective, informed decisions takes hard work. Trust me – it’s worth it. Effective decision-making is the essential common ingredient behind every successful step, initiative, and strategy that people, organizations, and national governments undertake."
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Ozzie Paez
Dec 29, 20222 min read
The informed decision-maker fallacy
A common and dangerous decision-making fallacy is that informed decision-makers predictably make better, more objective decisions. It’s...
15 views0 comments
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Ozzie Paez
Dec 8, 20222 min read
Exceptional Transformation
Coping with disruptive technological innovations is a daunting challenge for established businesses and institutions. Disruptions...
1 view0 comments
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Ozzie Paez
Mar 22, 20222 min read
The dangers of nuclear bluffing
The last time the world faced a dangerous nuclear crisis like the war in Ukraine was during the 1962 Cuban Missile Crisis. There had been...
8 views0 comments
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Ozzie Paez
Mar 16, 20222 min read
Putin & the Laws of Human Stupidity
Analysts prefer objective measures to subjective qualitative factors. Numbers simplify analysis and allow the application of quantifiable...
9 views0 comments
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Ozzie Paez
Mar 8, 20222 min read
Proliferation & Putin's Ukraine crisis
Threatening crises promote tunnel visions as those affected focus on their immediate effects. It’s only later, after normalcy returns,...
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Ozzie Paez
Jan 29, 20222 min read
Quantifying health and healthcare
The heart of digital transformation is quantification or more specifically the capacity to continuously measure (sample) processes,...
62 views0 comments
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Ozzie Paez
Jul 23, 20211 min read
Healthcare lessons beyond healthcare
Healthcare systems need to look beyond healthcare for lessons and solutions to meet the current and future crisis.
3 views0 comments
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Ozzie Paez
Jul 22, 20212 min read
Operational Elasticity
The COVID crisis tested healthcare’s robustness (the capacity to take a punch) and agility (the ability to adapt). Many hospitals...
77 views1 comment
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Ozzie Paez
Jul 19, 20216 min read
Saving lives in future emergencies
I authored this story several years ago based on 20+ years evaluating innovative health technologies, with input from health tech leaders...
91 views0 comments
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Ozzie Paez
May 21, 20211 min read
Preparedness and healthcare specs
I’ve spent much of my career helping clients define their needs, expectations, and #requirements in the face of continuous technological...
6 views0 comments
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Ozzie Paez
May 20, 20211 min read
Research: Tech and catastrophes
Healthcare, Public Health, and Emergency Services endured unprecedented challenges coping with #covid19. The pandemic’s impacts on the...
6 views0 comments
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Ozzie Paez
May 6, 20211 min read
Coping with mass casualty events
Previous posts in this series dealt with lessons learned after a mass casualty event – 9/11. This one focuses on mounting disasters that...
9 views0 comments
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Ozzie Paez
Nov 18, 20204 min read
Decision-making’s crucial 3rd leg
In his book, Thinking Fast and Slow, Nobel Laureate Daniel Kahneman describes two systems that drive our thinking and decision-making....
22 views0 comments
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Ozzie Paez
Sep 28, 20203 min read
Blinded by coincidence (i.e. sometimes s#!t happens)
THIS POST was first published in June 2012. It's been updated to include new lessons and research in the science and craft of...
12 views0 comments
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Ozzie Paez
Jul 21, 20201 min read
Prepare for 2021
Sometimes conditions beyond their control leave business leaders with few good choices...
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Ozzie Paez
Jul 1, 20201 min read
Restarting the economy: a long process
There are clear disconnects between politics, business, and the realities of reopening the economy.
3 views0 comments
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Ozzie Paez
Jun 27, 20201 min read
Benchmarks and uncertainty
he COVID-19 crisis has been exasperating for many of us in part because of contradictory explanations from experts and news sources...
7 views0 comments
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Ozzie Paez
Apr 16, 20201 min read
Business model uncertainties
Business models define their business’ rationale and operational logic. They encompass the processes and functions that transform inputs int
5 views0 comments
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Ozzie Paez
Apr 14, 20201 min read
Clarifying uncertainties
This post offers insights for identifying and contextually clarifying post-lockdown economic, strategic, and operational uncertainties.
6 views0 comments
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Ozzie Paez
Feb 14, 20201 min read
The human toll of unemployment
We are now hearing from officials and the media that, if/when Corona spreads in the US, cities may have to essentially shut down...
6 views0 comments
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