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"The most dangerous decision-making fallacy is that informed decision-makers will naturally make better, more objective decisions. Making consistently timely, effective, informed decisions takes hard work. Trust me – it’s worth it. Effective decision-making is the essential common ingredient behind every successful step, initiative, and strategy that people, organizations, and national governments undertake."
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Ozzie Paez
Jun 27, 20201 min read
Benchmarks and uncertainty
he COVID-19 crisis has been exasperating for many of us in part because of contradictory explanations from experts and news sources...
7 views0 comments
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Ozzie Paez
Jun 19, 20201 min read
All in it together? Sort of...
Business is a contact sport. Entrepreneurs, executives, and consumers accept that in free markets there are always winners and losers.
6 views0 comments
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Ozzie Paez
Jun 13, 20201 min read
Tentative reopenings
Low in-store traffic is far too common to suggest a strong, early recovery.
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Ozzie Paez
May 21, 20202 min read
Surviving the COVID economy
I counted more than ten failed businesses during a recent walk. There were many others whose operations were visibly unprofitable...
11 views0 comments
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Ozzie Paez
May 9, 20201 min read
Reopening constraints and profitability
States are setting new requirements as conditions for businesses reopening. They are particularly strict and disruptive to social businesses
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Ozzie Paez
May 2, 20201 min read
Application notes: Starbucks
Starbucks’ (SB) success relies on a socially centered customer value proposition...
4 views0 comments
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Ozzie Paez
Apr 29, 20201 min read
Applying OPR's recovery framework
This post discusses the OPR Framework’s application to social businesses, particularly restaurants...
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Ozzie Paez
Apr 16, 20201 min read
Business model uncertainties
Business models define their business’ rationale and operational logic. They encompass the processes and functions that transform inputs int
5 views0 comments
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Ozzie Paez
Apr 14, 20201 min read
Clarifying uncertainties
This post offers insights for identifying and contextually clarifying post-lockdown economic, strategic, and operational uncertainties.
6 views0 comments
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Ozzie Paez
Apr 7, 20201 min read
Our duty
Business leaders and investors know how to quantify and price risks; uncertainties are another matter. Unlike risks, which drive decisions a
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Ozzie Paez
Mar 20, 20201 min read
Alternative containment strategies
ALTERNATIVE STRATEGIES for containing Coronavirus have emerged...
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Ozzie Paez
Mar 17, 20201 min read
Assessing COVID-19 risks
To understand my odds and make good decisions, I needed representative data and context...
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Ozzie Paez
Mar 14, 20201 min read
NYC best source of COVID data
he city and State are providing better data on Coronavirus than has been available from other trusted sources.
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Ozzie Paez
Mar 10, 20201 min read
Riding bad data to lousy decisions
...we often lend automatic credibility to information and decisions based on data. It’s reasonable in many instances, but not always.
1 view0 comments
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Ozzie Paez
Mar 7, 20201 min read
Shortcomings in our response to Corona
Does it make sense to deal with this bug through policies that will drive the world-economy to an also deadly economic recession?...
4 views0 comments
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Ozzie Paez
Feb 28, 20201 min read
The business of life must go on
Coronavirus has captured our attention. The best antidote to fear is good information...
2 views0 comments
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Ozzie Paez
Feb 14, 20201 min read
The human toll of unemployment
We are now hearing from officials and the media that, if/when Corona spreads in the US, cities may have to essentially shut down...
6 views0 comments
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