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"The most dangerous decision-making fallacy is that informed decision-makers will naturally make better, more objective decisions. Making consistently timely, effective, informed decisions takes hard work. Trust me – it’s worth it. Effective decision-making is the essential common ingredient behind every successful step, initiative, and strategy that people, organizations, and national governments undertake."
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Ozzie Paez
Apr 14, 20201 min read
Clarifying uncertainties
This post offers insights for identifying and contextually clarifying post-lockdown economic, strategic, and operational uncertainties.
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Ozzie Paez
Apr 7, 20201 min read
Our duty
Business leaders and investors know how to quantify and price risks; uncertainties are another matter. Unlike risks, which drive decisions a
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Ozzie Paez
Mar 10, 20201 min read
Riding bad data to lousy decisions
...we often lend automatic credibility to information and decisions based on data. It’s reasonable in many instances, but not always.
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Ozzie Paez
Mar 7, 20201 min read
Shortcomings in our response to Corona
Does it make sense to deal with this bug through policies that will drive the world-economy to an also deadly economic recession?...
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Ozzie Paez
Feb 28, 20201 min read
The business of life must go on
Coronavirus has captured our attention. The best antidote to fear is good information...
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Ozzie Paez
Feb 6, 20205 min read
Why can't we get along?
I’m frequently asked about the implications of mergers and acquisitions. The issue came up again after Fort Collins’ Woodward, Inc. announc
36 views0 comments
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Ozzie Paez
Dec 5, 20193 min read
What are business disruptions?
The term ‘disruption’ has become a bucket word holding many imprecise concepts and definitions. That’s unfortunate because the fate of...
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Ozzie Paez
Nov 13, 20192 min read
Disruptions, decisions, and leadership
Change is a constant in business, but not all changes are created equal. Executives and senior managers are usually most concerned about...
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Ozzie Paez
Sep 17, 20193 min read
Walmart, Guns and Disruptions
Disruptions can make or break organizations and their leaders. If you lead or hope to lead in a competitive environment, then coping...
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Ozzie Paez
Aug 29, 20193 min read
Innovations, disruptions, business and war
Innovative technologies possess disruptive capacity but are rarely disruptive on their own. Disruptions occur at the intersection of...
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Ozzie Paez
Jul 26, 20195 min read
US vs. Iran: A tale of two mindsets
President Trump’s frustrating efforts to engage with Iran’s leadership are understandable and explainable. The President’s negotiating...
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Ozzie Paez
Apr 24, 20193 min read
Healthcare's changing landscape – Part I
It’s a foregone conclusion that healthcare will be dramatically different in ten years or less. All the pieces are in place for a broad...
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Ozzie Paez, Shelley Lineham
Apr 8, 20194 min read
AI, business strategy and venture capital
There are no shortage of misconceptions surrounding artificial intelligence (AI). Many established companies are struggling to...
30 views0 comments
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Ozzie Paez
Jan 9, 20193 min read
Artificial intelligence and stock markets
It’s impossible to miss the wild, record swings in the stock market. Scary things for investors accustomed to more sensible market...
28 views0 comments
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Ozzie Paez
Dec 20, 20183 min read
Putting machine learning to work
Science fiction continues to undermine our general understanding of artificial intelligence. Even well-educated people frequently...
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Ozzie Paez
Oct 18, 20183 min read
Should AI worry or excite CEOs? Yes!
According to a recent survey, a majority of Fortune 500 CEOs see Artificial Intelligence (AI) as a big challenge[i]. Their feelings are...
41 views0 comments
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Ozzie Paez
Oct 4, 20183 min read
Strategy & sustainability at HBS
Harvard Business School’s (HBS) course on Sustainable Business Strategy is an important departure from its traditional focus on...
55 views0 comments
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Ozzie Paez
Sep 28, 20182 min read
Making sense of artificial intelligence
When new technologies emerge, visionaries and early adopters often present expectations, assumptions and unproven hypotheses as facts. ...
23 views0 comments
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Ozzie Paez
Aug 7, 20182 min read
Getting smart about Artificial Intelligence
One of my primary functions is helping our clients cope and thrive amid disruptive change. In this context, Artificial Intelligence (AI)...
37 views0 comments
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Ozzie Paez
Aug 6, 20182 min read
The Unstoppable 3D-Printer Guns
Cody Wilson, the 28-year-old head of Defense Distributed, is at the center of a conflict between free speech, the Constitution and the...
28 views0 comments
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